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NBA Consensus Picks - Games on May 28 FC178

Writer: Naethan ChillinNaethan Chillin

Updated: Jun 7, 2023

NBA Consensus Picks - Celtics VS Heat 8:30 AM Wednesday, in Manila

 

Team

Spread Odd and Consensus

O/U Odds and Consensus

Heat

-2.5/1.92/51%

o210.5/1.97/83%

Celtics

+2.5/1.92/49%

u210.5/1.87/17%


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Celtics VS Heat Game Prediction


This is where the remarkable journey of the Celtics comes to a conclusion.


While bettors may hesitate to place their bets on Miami for an outright win due to the last two games, it's important to consider the context. ShotQuality's post-game model actually assessed Game 4 as a 110-107 victory for the Heat based on shooting expectations. This suggests that the Celtics might have been somewhat fortunate in their 116-99 triumph.


However, this situation exemplifies why overcoming a 0-3 deficit in a series is perceived as nearly impossible. The Celtics have absolutely no room for error, and a single poor shooting performance or an outstanding showing from the Heat could bring an end to this series.


The Celtics may possess the necessary qualities to create history, but the overwhelming majority of the previous 149 teams that faced a 0-3 deficit in a series have fallen short. To put it into perspective, only three of those teams managed to extend the series to a Game 7.


With the desire to avoid the series returning to Boston, this upcoming game holds immense importance for Miami's head coach, Erik Spoelstra, and their star guard, Jimmy Butler. This contest essentially becomes a Game 7 scenario for them. Considering the high stakes, I find the idea of betting on this tandem at favorable odds intriguing.


It's worth noting that in Game 4, which took place at Miami's Kaseya Center, the Heat were favored by 1 point. The betting market had believed that the Celtics had lost their motivation. Therefore, I believe there is value to be found in the current situation, as the Celtics showcased exceptional shooting in their previous encounter with Miami.


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